Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 29°C, stems from consistent observational data and short-term model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or enhanced solar heating. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends, as deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or revised model outputs shifting the maximum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 13 сентября?
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
$64,353 Объем
$64,353 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
$64,353 Объем
$64,353 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$1,995 Объем
<1%
27°C
$6,411 Объем
<1%
28°C
$16,906 Объем
<1%
29°C
$10,382 Объем
100%
30°C
$13,923 Объем
1%
31°C
$9,353 Объем
<1%
32°C
$4,853 Объем
<1%
33°C
$145 Объем
<1%
34°C
$106 Объем
<1%
35°C
$143 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$138 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 29°C, stems from consistent observational data and short-term model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or enhanced solar heating. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends, as deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or revised model outputs shifting the maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$64,353Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 29°C, stems from consistent observational data and short-term model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or enhanced solar heating. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends, as deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or revised model outputs shifting the maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$64,353Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high of approximately 29°C in Shanghai on September 13, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. This consensus, reflected in the market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability for 29°C, stems from consistent observational data and short-term model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or enhanced solar heating. Trader positioning aligns with these verified trends, as deviations would require rapid changes in cloud cover or wind patterns. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected convective development or revised model outputs shifting the maximum by 1–2°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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