**Recent model runs and official guidance point to a frontal system and associated rain arriving Tuesday evening as the main driver keeping the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered around 15–17 °C.** Current conditions remain warm and mostly dry, with highs near 28–30 °C through Monday, but southwesterly flow ahead of the front will increase cloud cover and bring light rain by afternoon, limiting daytime heating and allowing radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance shows the daily minimum most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours Wednesday local time, with values tightly grouped near 16 °C; slight differences in the timing of clearing or wind shift explain the close market split between 15 °C, 16 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Historical September minima average around 12 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme drop. Updated high-resolution model runs and Météo-France briefings expected Monday evening will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles at the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 8 сентября?
16°C 37%
17°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 15%
11°C или ниже
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C
28%
16°C
37%
17°C
29%
18°C
15%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C или выше
2%
16°C 37%
17°C 29%
15°C 28%
13°C 15%
11°C или ниже
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C
28%
16°C
37%
17°C
29%
18°C
15%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model runs and official guidance point to a frontal system and associated rain arriving Tuesday evening as the main driver keeping the lowest temperature in Paris on September 8 clustered around 15–17 °C.** Current conditions remain warm and mostly dry, with highs near 28–30 °C through Monday, but southwesterly flow ahead of the front will increase cloud cover and bring light rain by afternoon, limiting daytime heating and allowing radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance shows the daily minimum most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours Wednesday local time, with values tightly grouped near 16 °C; slight differences in the timing of clearing or wind shift explain the close market split between 15 °C, 16 °C, and 17 °C outcomes. Historical September minima average around 12 °C, so the current setup reflects a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme drop. Updated high-resolution model runs and Météo-France briefings expected Monday evening will provide the clearest signal on whether the low settles at the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы