Latest forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 6 maximum temperature centered on 36–37°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus between ECMWF and AEMET runs favors the 37°C bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting modest daytime heating from clear skies and dry boundary-layer conditions, while the 36°C outcome at 39% captures slight cooling from residual Atlantic moisture. The narrower 14% chance for 38°C stems from uncertainty in peak insolation timing and urban heat-island amplification. Historical September baselines for central Spain hover near 28–30°C, so current anomalies underscore the role of persistent anticyclonic patterns in elevating surface temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 сентября?
37°C 47%
36°C 41%
38°C 12%
35°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
41%
37°C
47%
38°C
12%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C или выше
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 41%
38°C 12%
35°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
$495 Объем
<1%
34°C
$303 Объем
1%
35°C
$1,230 Объем
3%
36°C
$1,851 Объем
41%
37°C
$1,902 Объем
47%
38°C
$1,645 Объем
12%
39°C
$360 Объем
1%
40°C
$250 Объем
<1%
41°C
$406 Объем
<1%
42°C
$199 Объем
<1%
43°C или выше
$189 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 6 maximum temperature centered on 36–37°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus between ECMWF and AEMET runs favors the 37°C bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting modest daytime heating from clear skies and dry boundary-layer conditions, while the 36°C outcome at 39% captures slight cooling from residual Atlantic moisture. The narrower 14% chance for 38°C stems from uncertainty in peak insolation timing and urban heat-island amplification. Historical September baselines for central Spain hover near 28–30°C, so current anomalies underscore the role of persistent anticyclonic patterns in elevating surface temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$8,829Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 6 maximum temperature centered on 36–37°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus between ECMWF and AEMET runs favors the 37°C bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting modest daytime heating from clear skies and dry boundary-layer conditions, while the 36°C outcome at 39% captures slight cooling from residual Atlantic moisture. The narrower 14% chance for 38°C stems from uncertainty in peak insolation timing and urban heat-island amplification. Historical September baselines for central Spain hover near 28–30°C, so current anomalies underscore the role of persistent anticyclonic patterns in elevating surface temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,829Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from European meteorological agencies show Madrid's September 6 maximum temperature centered on 36–37°C under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow and minimal cloud cover. Model consensus between ECMWF and AEMET runs favors the 37°C bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting modest daytime heating from clear skies and dry boundary-layer conditions, while the 36°C outcome at 39% captures slight cooling from residual Atlantic moisture. The narrower 14% chance for 38°C stems from uncertainty in peak insolation timing and urban heat-island amplification. Historical September baselines for central Spain hover near 28–30°C, so current anomalies underscore the role of persistent anticyclonic patterns in elevating surface temperatures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы