**Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in Paris on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** This setup promotes overnight radiative cooling from the surface after daytime highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the observed early-morning readings around 15–17°C (59–63°F) and the climatological September low near 11°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time surface observations, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or wind. A shift to stronger winds or increased low-level moisture could limit cooling and push the minimum above 14°C, while clearer conditions or a brief cold-air advection could allow readings closer to 11–12°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 19 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 19 сентября?
13°C 98%
11°C 5%
12°C 4%
10°C или ниже 1.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 5%
12°C 4%
10°C или ниже 1.6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$135 Объем
2%
11°C
$709 Объем
5%
12°C
$1,539 Объем
4%
13°C
$4,788 Объем
98%
14°C
$1,371 Объем
<1%
15°C
$200 Объем
<1%
16°C
$37 Объем
<1%
17°C
$55 Объем
<1%
18°C
$41 Объем
<1%
19°C
$41 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$41 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in Paris on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** This setup promotes overnight radiative cooling from the surface after daytime highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the observed early-morning readings around 15–17°C (59–63°F) and the climatological September low near 11°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time surface observations, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or wind. A shift to stronger winds or increased low-level moisture could limit cooling and push the minimum above 14°C, while clearer conditions or a brief cold-air advection could allow readings closer to 11–12°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$8,957Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in Paris on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** This setup promotes overnight radiative cooling from the surface after daytime highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the observed early-morning readings around 15–17°C (59–63°F) and the climatological September low near 11°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time surface observations, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or wind. A shift to stronger winds or increased low-level moisture could limit cooling and push the minimum above 14°C, while clearer conditions or a brief cold-air advection could allow readings closer to 11–12°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,957Дата окончания
19 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS outputs, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C in Paris on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds.** This setup promotes overnight radiative cooling from the surface after daytime highs near 24–25°C, consistent with the observed early-morning readings around 15–17°C (59–63°F) and the climatological September low near 11°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for 13°C reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and real-time surface observations, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in cloud cover or wind. A shift to stronger winds or increased low-level moisture could limit cooling and push the minimum above 14°C, while clearer conditions or a brief cold-air advection could allow readings closer to 11–12°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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