**Forecast models from major agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight in Munich on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Westerly flow and extensive cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical September average low of around 10°C while preventing colder outliers. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows little model spread, with most runs converging on this value as the daily minimum. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because only an unexpected shift—such as rapid clearing skies or stronger northerly advection—could realistically drop readings to 10°C or below before dawn, an outcome current atmospheric setup makes unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 13 сентября?
11°C 99.5%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 Объем
$1,304 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
11°C 99.5%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 Объем
$1,304 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
7°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
8°C
$121 Объем
1%
9°C
$103 Объем
<1%
10°C
$165 Объем
1%
11°C
$598 Объем
100%
12°C
$118 Объем
<1%
13°C
$32 Объем
<1%
14°C
$15 Объем
<1%
15°C
$15 Объем
<1%
16°C
$122 Объем
<1%
17°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight in Munich on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Westerly flow and extensive cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical September average low of around 10°C while preventing colder outliers. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows little model spread, with most runs converging on this value as the daily minimum. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because only an unexpected shift—such as rapid clearing skies or stronger northerly advection—could realistically drop readings to 10°C or below before dawn, an outcome current atmospheric setup makes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,304Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from major agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight in Munich on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Westerly flow and extensive cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical September average low of around 10°C while preventing colder outliers. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows little model spread, with most runs converging on this value as the daily minimum. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because only an unexpected shift—such as rapid clearing skies or stronger northerly advection—could realistically drop readings to 10°C or below before dawn, an outcome current atmospheric setup makes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,304Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from major agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 11°C overnight in Munich on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Westerly flow and extensive cloud cover have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above the historical September average low of around 10°C while preventing colder outliers. Official guidance from sources tracking regional conditions shows little model spread, with most runs converging on this value as the daily minimum. Traders assign overwhelming probability here because only an unexpected shift—such as rapid clearing skies or stronger northerly advection—could realistically drop readings to 10°C or below before dawn, an outcome current atmospheric setup makes unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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