Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 amid light rain or showers, moderate westerly to northwesterly flow, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 21°C and secondary support for 20–22°C outcomes. The expected high sits slightly above the 1991–2020 September average of roughly 19.8°C, yet rain and cloud cover reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts show stable steering patterns with no rapid warming signals, keeping trader focus on the narrow 20–22°C band ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 14 сентября?
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
20°C 11%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$13,153 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,153 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
54%
22°C
32%
23°C
7%
24°C или выше
1%
21°C 54%
22°C 32%
20°C 11%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$13,153 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,153 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$864 Объем
<1%
15°C
$600 Объем
<1%
16°C
$435 Объем
<1%
17°C
$402 Объем
<1%
18°C
$172 Объем
1%
19°C
$525 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,205 Объем
11%
21°C
$2,417 Объем
54%
22°C
$5,312 Объем
32%
23°C
$841 Объем
7%
24°C или выше
$379 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 amid light rain or showers, moderate westerly to northwesterly flow, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 21°C and secondary support for 20–22°C outcomes. The expected high sits slightly above the 1991–2020 September average of roughly 19.8°C, yet rain and cloud cover reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts show stable steering patterns with no rapid warming signals, keeping trader focus on the narrow 20–22°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$13,153Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 amid light rain or showers, moderate westerly to northwesterly flow, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 21°C and secondary support for 20–22°C outcomes. The expected high sits slightly above the 1991–2020 September average of roughly 19.8°C, yet rain and cloud cover reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts show stable steering patterns with no rapid warming signals, keeping trader focus on the narrow 20–22°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,153Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus, including GFS runs, supports a daytime maximum near 21°C in Munich on September 14 amid light rain or showers, moderate westerly to northwesterly flow, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 21°C and secondary support for 20–22°C outcomes. The expected high sits slightly above the 1991–2020 September average of roughly 19.8°C, yet rain and cloud cover reduce the chance of exceeding 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts show stable steering patterns with no rapid warming signals, keeping trader focus on the narrow 20–22°C band ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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