Recent official forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 9–11°C overnight into August 30 in Moscow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and cloud cover have limited radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near this threshold rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 11°C reflects this strong agreement across guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning discounting lower outcomes. A realistic shift could occur only if clearer skies or altered wind patterns allow the temperature to fall below the forecast envelope before midnight local time, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 30 августа?
11°C 98%
10°C 18.1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Объем
$1,663 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
18%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
10°C 18.1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Объем
$1,663 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$173 Объем
<1%
6°C
$87 Объем
<1%
7°C
$37 Объем
<1%
8°C
$50 Объем
<1%
9°C
$50 Объем
<1%
10°C
$111 Объем
18%
11°C
$499 Объем
98%
12°C
$208 Объем
<1%
13°C
$65 Объем
<1%
14°C
$40 Объем
<1%
15°C or higher
$343 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 9–11°C overnight into August 30 in Moscow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and cloud cover have limited radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near this threshold rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 11°C reflects this strong agreement across guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning discounting lower outcomes. A realistic shift could occur only if clearer skies or altered wind patterns allow the temperature to fall below the forecast envelope before midnight local time, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$1,663Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 9–11°C overnight into August 30 in Moscow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and cloud cover have limited radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near this threshold rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 11°C reflects this strong agreement across guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning discounting lower outcomes. A realistic shift could occur only if clearer skies or altered wind patterns allow the temperature to fall below the forecast envelope before midnight local time, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,663Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and numerical model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 9–11°C overnight into August 30 in Moscow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and cloud cover have limited radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows near this threshold rather than allowing sharper drops. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability for exactly 11°C reflects this strong agreement across guidance, with skin-in-the-game positioning discounting lower outcomes. A realistic shift could occur only if clearer skies or altered wind patterns allow the temperature to fall below the forecast envelope before midnight local time, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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