Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointed to typical midsummer overnight conditions at Miami International Airport, with minimal cooling under high pressure and light winds. July climatology supports this range, as average daily lows hover near 78-80°F with rare excursions below 75°F absent strong frontal passages. The negligible probabilities for 78-79°F or lower reflect the absence of any observed or modeled cold advection in the 48 hours prior. A late-day shift in steering currents or unexpected cloud cover could trim the minimum by a degree or two, but such adjustments remain low-likelihood given stable subtropical ridging and sea-surface temperatures near 86°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 31 июля?
80-81°F 99.5%
67°F или ниже <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,681 Объем
$11,681 Объем
67°F или ниже
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
80-81°F 99.5%
67°F или ниже <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$11,681 Объем
$11,681 Объем
67°F или ниже
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an 80-81°F low for Miami on July 31 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointed to typical midsummer overnight conditions at Miami International Airport, with minimal cooling under high pressure and light winds. July climatology supports this range, as average daily lows hover near 78-80°F with rare excursions below 75°F absent strong frontal passages. The negligible probabilities for 78-79°F or lower reflect the absence of any observed or modeled cold advection in the 48 hours prior. A late-day shift in steering currents or unexpected cloud cover could trim the minimum by a degree or two, but such adjustments remain low-likelihood given stable subtropical ridging and sea-surface temperatures near 86°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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