Latest high-resolution model guidance from the Met Office and global ensembles indicates a likely overnight minimum of 12–14 °C in London on 1 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling from an Atlantic-sourced airmass. These conditions align closely with the long-term 1991–2020 average low of 12.8 °C for the date, without signals for either strong nocturnal cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with the 13 °C outcome commanding the highest implied probability as models converge on that threshold ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 1 сентября?
13°C 42%
14°C 40%
12°C 18%
15°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
11%
12°C
18%
13°C
42%
14°C
23%
15°C
13%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 40%
12°C 18%
15°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$10 Объем
1%
9°C
$127 Объем
1%
10°C
$11 Объем
8%
11°C
$0 Объем
11%
12°C
$48 Объем
18%
13°C
$145 Объем
42%
14°C
$67 Объем
23%
15°C
$10 Объем
13%
16°C
$0 Объем
11%
17°C
$5 Объем
2%
18°C или выше
$10 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance from the Met Office and global ensembles indicates a likely overnight minimum of 12–14 °C in London on 1 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling from an Atlantic-sourced airmass. These conditions align closely with the long-term 1991–2020 average low of 12.8 °C for the date, without signals for either strong nocturnal cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with the 13 °C outcome commanding the highest implied probability as models converge on that threshold ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$432Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance from the Met Office and global ensembles indicates a likely overnight minimum of 12–14 °C in London on 1 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling from an Atlantic-sourced airmass. These conditions align closely with the long-term 1991–2020 average low of 12.8 °C for the date, without signals for either strong nocturnal cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with the 13 °C outcome commanding the highest implied probability as models converge on that threshold ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$432Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model guidance from the Met Office and global ensembles indicates a likely overnight minimum of 12–14 °C in London on 1 September, driven by building high pressure, light westerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling from an Atlantic-sourced airmass. These conditions align closely with the long-term 1991–2020 average low of 12.8 °C for the date, without signals for either strong nocturnal cooling or warmer advection. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow spread among deterministic and ensemble runs, with the 13 °C outcome commanding the highest implied probability as models converge on that threshold ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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