Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under stable high pressure have positioned the overnight minimum temperature in Istanbul near 20–21°C on September 5, 2026, driving the market-implied probabilities toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 18°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this range according to official forecasts from sources tracking 18–21°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for early September, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Final station readings will resolve the market once the full daily minimum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 5 сентября?
20°C 40%
19°C 39%
17°C или ниже 2%
18°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
56%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
20°C 40%
19°C 39%
17°C или ниже 2%
18°C 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
17°C или ниже
$32 Объем
2%
18°C
$32 Объем
2%
19°C
$16 Объем
39%
20°C
$0 Объем
40%
21°C
$80 Объем
56%
22°C
$79 Объем
<1%
23°C
$35 Объем
<1%
24°C
$35 Объем
<1%
25°C
$35 Объем
<1%
26°C
$35 Объем
<1%
27°C или выше
$40 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under stable high pressure have positioned the overnight minimum temperature in Istanbul near 20–21°C on September 5, 2026, driving the market-implied probabilities toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 18°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this range according to official forecasts from sources tracking 18–21°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for early September, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Final station readings will resolve the market once the full daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$419Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under stable high pressure have positioned the overnight minimum temperature in Istanbul near 20–21°C on September 5, 2026, driving the market-implied probabilities toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 18°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this range according to official forecasts from sources tracking 18–21°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for early September, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Final station readings will resolve the market once the full daily minimum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$419Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under stable high pressure have positioned the overnight minimum temperature in Istanbul near 20–21°C on September 5, 2026, driving the market-implied probabilities toward those outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, with dew points around 18°C and light winds limiting mixing, supports this range according to official forecasts from sources tracking 18–21°C lows. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms for early September, with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Final station readings will resolve the market once the full daily minimum is confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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