Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure are positioning Istanbul for a peak temperature near 27–28°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Official forecasts from regional models show daytime highs building from morning lows around 21°C, with minimal cloud cover and humidity dropping into the 40–50% range by afternoon, favoring efficient warming without significant moisture or instability. Historical September averages near 27°C provide climatological context, while the absence of recent frontal passages or Mediterranean moisture has kept conditions dry and consistent with trader-implied odds. Updated midday observations and short-range model runs will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 5 сентября?
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,027 Объем
$10,027 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
76%
28°C
18%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
26°C 7%
29°C <1%
$10,027 Объем
$10,027 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$862 Объем
<1%
23°C
$515 Объем
<1%
24°C
$305 Объем
<1%
25°C
$930 Объем
<1%
26°C
$2,487 Объем
7%
27°C
$2,345 Объем
76%
28°C
$693 Объем
18%
29°C
$600 Объем
1%
30°C
$424 Объем
<1%
31°C
$455 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$411 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure are positioning Istanbul for a peak temperature near 27–28°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Official forecasts from regional models show daytime highs building from morning lows around 21°C, with minimal cloud cover and humidity dropping into the 40–50% range by afternoon, favoring efficient warming without significant moisture or instability. Historical September averages near 27°C provide climatological context, while the absence of recent frontal passages or Mediterranean moisture has kept conditions dry and consistent with trader-implied odds. Updated midday observations and short-range model runs will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$10,027Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure are positioning Istanbul for a peak temperature near 27–28°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Official forecasts from regional models show daytime highs building from morning lows around 21°C, with minimal cloud cover and humidity dropping into the 40–50% range by afternoon, favoring efficient warming without significant moisture or instability. Historical September averages near 27°C provide climatological context, while the absence of recent frontal passages or Mediterranean moisture has kept conditions dry and consistent with trader-implied odds. Updated midday observations and short-range model runs will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,027Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure are positioning Istanbul for a peak temperature near 27–28°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Official forecasts from regional models show daytime highs building from morning lows around 21°C, with minimal cloud cover and humidity dropping into the 40–50% range by afternoon, favoring efficient warming without significant moisture or instability. Historical September averages near 27°C provide climatological context, while the absence of recent frontal passages or Mediterranean moisture has kept conditions dry and consistent with trader-implied odds. Updated midday observations and short-range model runs will determine final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы