Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Пекине 31 августа?
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
30%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 30%
19°C 28%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$705 Объем
<1%
14°C
$145 Объем
1%
15°C
$140 Объем
22%
16°C
$0 Объем
26%
17°C
$0 Объем
27%
18°C
$0 Объем
30%
19°C
$0 Объем
28%
20°C
$0 Объем
27%
21°C
$0 Объем
25%
22°C
$11 Объем
19%
23°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,006Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,006Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including NOAA and the China Meteorological Administration show Beijing under clear skies with light northeasterly flow on August 31, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling to a minimum near 19 °C. This aligns with the climatological average low of 19.4 °C for the date and explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 17 °C and 19 °C. Small differences among leading outcomes reflect ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island intensity, and exact wind speeds overnight, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the consensus forecast against typical model bias of ±1–2 °C for minimum temperatures in late-summer continental conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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