**Persistent southerly winds and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across central Texas, anchoring the minimum temperature forecast for Austin on September 14 in the mid- to upper 70s.** Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show partly cloudy skies and dew points near 75°F that suppress the typical nocturnal drop, producing lows clustered around 76–79°F. This places the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins at the top of trader-implied odds, while slightly warmer or cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in cloud cover and wind speed. The setup deviates from the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 68°F for the date, driven by ongoing warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Updated National Weather Service model cycles and evening soundings will provide the next key data points for refining the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 14 сентября?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
15%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
30%
78–79°F
23%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84–85°F
39%
86–87°F
17%
88°F или выше
15%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$0 Объем
15%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
39%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
39%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
28%
76-77°F
$10 Объем
30%
78–79°F
$0 Объем
23%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
39%
82-83°F
$0 Объем
39%
84–85°F
$0 Объем
39%
86–87°F
$0 Объем
17%
88°F или выше
$0 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly winds and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across central Texas, anchoring the minimum temperature forecast for Austin on September 14 in the mid- to upper 70s.** Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show partly cloudy skies and dew points near 75°F that suppress the typical nocturnal drop, producing lows clustered around 76–79°F. This places the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins at the top of trader-implied odds, while slightly warmer or cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in cloud cover and wind speed. The setup deviates from the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 68°F for the date, driven by ongoing warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Updated National Weather Service model cycles and evening soundings will provide the next key data points for refining the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly winds and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across central Texas, anchoring the minimum temperature forecast for Austin on September 14 in the mid- to upper 70s.** Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show partly cloudy skies and dew points near 75°F that suppress the typical nocturnal drop, producing lows clustered around 76–79°F. This places the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins at the top of trader-implied odds, while slightly warmer or cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in cloud cover and wind speed. The setup deviates from the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 68°F for the date, driven by ongoing warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Updated National Weather Service model cycles and evening soundings will provide the next key data points for refining the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southerly winds and elevated humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across central Texas, anchoring the minimum temperature forecast for Austin on September 14 in the mid- to upper 70s.** Multiple model runs, including GFS guidance, show partly cloudy skies and dew points near 75°F that suppress the typical nocturnal drop, producing lows clustered around 76–79°F. This places the 76–77°F and 74–75°F bins at the top of trader-implied odds, while slightly warmer or cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in cloud cover and wind speed. The setup deviates from the 1991–2020 average low of roughly 68°F for the date, driven by ongoing warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Updated National Weather Service model cycles and evening soundings will provide the next key data points for refining the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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