Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Austin's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 61% implied probability. Persistent heat and dew points near 74°F suppress typical September cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 1991-2020 average low of 68.7°F. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with lows projected between 78-80°F and only marginal chances for brief dips near 77°F if clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical precedent and any late-day model shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Остине 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Остине 13 сентября?
69°F или ниже 100%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 35%
70–71°F 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
100%
70–71°F
13%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
61%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
69°F или ниже 100%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 35%
70–71°F 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
70–71°F
$0 Объем
13%
72-73°F
$45 Объем
35%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
44%
76-77°F
$10 Объем
47%
78-79°F
$3 Объем
61%
80-81°F
$109 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$110 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
<1%
88°F или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Austin's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 61% implied probability. Persistent heat and dew points near 74°F suppress typical September cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 1991-2020 average low of 68.7°F. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with lows projected between 78-80°F and only marginal chances for brief dips near 77°F if clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical precedent and any late-day model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Объем
$277Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Austin's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 61% implied probability. Persistent heat and dew points near 74°F suppress typical September cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 1991-2020 average low of 68.7°F. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with lows projected between 78-80°F and only marginal chances for brief dips near 77°F if clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical precedent and any late-day model shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$277Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Austin's overnight low on September 13 will settle in the upper 70s amid persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and minimal radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 78-79°F outcome at 61% implied probability. Persistent heat and dew points near 74°F suppress typical September cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 1991-2020 average low of 68.7°F. Recent model consensus shows little deviation, with lows projected between 78-80°F and only marginal chances for brief dips near 77°F if clearer skies develop. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions heavily against historical precedent and any late-day model shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы