Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Ankara overnight into August 31, with light northerly to northeasterly winds of 2–6 km/h and surface pressure near 1016 hPa. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, supporting minimum temperatures in the 13–17 °C range—close to the long-term August climatological low of roughly 14–16 °C at the city’s 870–900 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to late-August peaks, with dew points near 10–12 °C limiting additional moisture-driven moderation. Market-implied probabilities weighting 11 °C or below most heavily reflect trader focus on the potential for efficient overnight cooling under clear skies, tempered by uncertainty in exact model consensus and any residual cloud cover that could raise the low. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Service and new model cycles later today will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.