Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено6-7% 29%
7-8% 24%
<5% 15%
8%+ 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<5%
15%
5-6%
13%
6-7%
27%
7-8%
24%
8%+
31%
6-7% 29%
7-8% 24%
<5% 15%
8%+ 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<5%
$84 Объем
15%
5-6%
$119 Объем
13%
6-7%
$181 Объем
27%
7-8%
$52 Объем
24%
8%+
$47 Объем
31%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Объем
$482Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$482Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu holding steady in the 7–9 seat range across multiple firms, translating to roughly 6–7.5% of the vote. This consistency stems from the party's established base among secular and Russian-speaking voters, combined with Avigdor Lieberman's positioning as a right-leaning opposition force seeking to block Netanyahu-led coalitions. Fragmentation among other right-wing and centrist lists, plus the 3.25% electoral threshold, has kept its projected share tightly bounded without a clear breakout. Candidate list finalization in early September produced no notable shifts for the party, while broader bloc competition and last-minute turnout dynamics among swing voters sustain the narrow spread between the 6–8% brackets in trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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