The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5–6% 35%
4–5% 31%
3,25–4% 27%
<3,25% 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<3,25%
12%
3,25–4%
27%
4–5%
31%
5–6%
35%
6%+
12%
5–6% 35%
4–5% 31%
3,25–4% 27%
<3,25% 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<3,25%
$246 Объем
12%
3,25–4%
$0 Объем
27%
4–5%
$0 Объем
31%
5–6%
$0 Объем
35%
6%+
$90 Объем
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Объем
$336Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Religious Zionist Party–Zehut's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Religious Zionist Party–Zehut passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Religious Zionist Party–Zehut merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$336Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 2:39 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The recent merger between the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut into a technical bloc, finalized in early September and reflected in the combined Knesset slate submitted on September 9, has stabilized support near the 3.25% electoral threshold amid competition from other right-wing lists. Polling since the agreement shows the bloc projected at five to eight seats, equivalent to roughly 4-7% of the vote, with trader pricing clustered around 4-6% reflecting uncertainty over turnout among religious Zionist and national-religious voters. Key variables include potential further right-wing alliances, consolidation of votes away from smaller parties or Otzma Yehudit, and broader campaign dynamics ahead of the October 27 election that could shift the bloc's final share by a percentage point or more.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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