Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed daytime heating, producing an official forecast high of 25°C according to multiple meteorological sources including timeanddate.com and Chinese weather services. This outcome aligns with observed conditions of near-100% humidity, northeasterly winds, and flash-flood risks that enhance evaporative cooling and limit solar radiation, well below the seasonal August average near 30–32°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects strong consensus across forecast models and real-time observations. A rapid shift to clear skies or significant model revisions could allow modest warming, though current data indicate low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 12 августа?
25°C 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,135 Объем
$14,135 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.6%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$14,135 Объем
$14,135 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rainfall and extensive cloud cover across Zhengzhou on August 12 have suppressed daytime heating, producing an official forecast high of 25°C according to multiple meteorological sources including timeanddate.com and Chinese weather services. This outcome aligns with observed conditions of near-100% humidity, northeasterly winds, and flash-flood risks that enhance evaporative cooling and limit solar radiation, well below the seasonal August average near 30–32°C. The 99.6% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects strong consensus across forecast models and real-time observations. A rapid shift to clear skies or significant model revisions could allow modest warming, though current data indicate low likelihood of exceeding or falling short of this threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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