Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin indicate afternoon highs near 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subsidence and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. These conditions align with historical August maxima of 34–35°C while allowing brief spikes above 37°C under clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 37°C as the most probable outcome, with 36°C and 38°C as close alternatives, as updated guidance overnight will refine the precise peak amid standard model spread in subtropical monsoon regimes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 12 августа?
37°C 41%
38°C 25%
36°C 22%
35°C 6%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
22%
37°C
41%
38°C
25%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 41%
38°C 25%
36°C 22%
35°C 6%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
6%
36°C
22%
37°C
41%
38°C
25%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan Basin indicate afternoon highs near 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subsidence and high humidity that limits overnight cooling. These conditions align with historical August maxima of 34–35°C while allowing brief spikes above 37°C under clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 37°C as the most probable outcome, with 36°C and 38°C as close alternatives, as updated guidance overnight will refine the precise peak amid standard model spread in subtropical monsoon regimes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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