Short-range meteorological guidance from regional and global ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul favoring an afternoon maximum near 28°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent northerly flow from the Black Sea continues to moderate coastal readings through sea-breeze effects, capping peaks despite seasonal insolation that typically supports 27–29°C August highs. Narrow model spreads and limited signals for stronger southerly advection keep combined odds for 30°C or above below 5%. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether minor warming trends emerge or the current 27–28°C consensus holds ahead of official resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 12 августа?
28°C 55%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
55%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 24%
29°C 20%
30°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$123 Объем
<1%
24°C
$60 Объем
<1%
25°C
$182 Объем
<1%
26°C
$138 Объем
2%
27°C
$594 Объем
24%
28°C
$868 Объем
55%
29°C
$242 Объем
20%
30°C
$92 Объем
4%
31°C
$126 Объем
1%
32°C
$10 Объем
2%
33°C or higher
$728 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range meteorological guidance from regional and global ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul favoring an afternoon maximum near 28°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent northerly flow from the Black Sea continues to moderate coastal readings through sea-breeze effects, capping peaks despite seasonal insolation that typically supports 27–29°C August highs. Narrow model spreads and limited signals for stronger southerly advection keep combined odds for 30°C or above below 5%. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether minor warming trends emerge or the current 27–28°C consensus holds ahead of official resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$3,161Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range meteorological guidance from regional and global ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul favoring an afternoon maximum near 28°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent northerly flow from the Black Sea continues to moderate coastal readings through sea-breeze effects, capping peaks despite seasonal insolation that typically supports 27–29°C August highs. Narrow model spreads and limited signals for stronger southerly advection keep combined odds for 30°C or above below 5%. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether minor warming trends emerge or the current 27–28°C consensus holds ahead of official resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,161Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range meteorological guidance from regional and global ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul favoring an afternoon maximum near 28°C on August 12, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent northerly flow from the Black Sea continues to moderate coastal readings through sea-breeze effects, capping peaks despite seasonal insolation that typically supports 27–29°C August highs. Narrow model spreads and limited signals for stronger southerly advection keep combined odds for 30°C or above below 5%. Updated forecast runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine whether minor warming trends emerge or the current 27–28°C consensus holds ahead of official resolution data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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