Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Turkish meteorological models point to a highest temperature of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 10, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 43%. August climatology shows average daily highs of 27–29°C under Mediterranean influence, moderated by Black Sea breezes and typical humidity levels near 70%. Recent early-August heat peaks exceeding 33°C have eased with shifting high-pressure patterns and increased cloud cover, reducing intensification potential. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final updates, though minor shifts in wind or insolation could adjust outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 августа?
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
31%
28°C
45%
29°C
18%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C или выше
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 31%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$12 Объем
1%
24°C
$12 Объем
1%
25°C
$22 Объем
3%
26°C
$0 Объем
12%
27°C
$0 Объем
31%
28°C
$5 Объем
45%
29°C
$0 Объем
18%
30°C
$0 Объем
5%
31°C
$5 Объем
4%
32°C
$5 Объем
4%
33°C или выше
$5 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Turkish meteorological models point to a highest temperature of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 10, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 43%. August climatology shows average daily highs of 27–29°C under Mediterranean influence, moderated by Black Sea breezes and typical humidity levels near 70%. Recent early-August heat peaks exceeding 33°C have eased with shifting high-pressure patterns and increased cloud cover, reducing intensification potential. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final updates, though minor shifts in wind or insolation could adjust outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$66Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Turkish meteorological models point to a highest temperature of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 10, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 43%. August climatology shows average daily highs of 27–29°C under Mediterranean influence, moderated by Black Sea breezes and typical humidity levels near 70%. Recent early-August heat peaks exceeding 33°C have eased with shifting high-pressure patterns and increased cloud cover, reducing intensification potential. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final updates, though minor shifts in wind or insolation could adjust outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$66Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and Turkish meteorological models point to a highest temperature of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 10, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 28°C at 43%. August climatology shows average daily highs of 27–29°C under Mediterranean influence, moderated by Black Sea breezes and typical humidity levels near 70%. Recent early-August heat peaks exceeding 33°C have eased with shifting high-pressure patterns and increased cloud cover, reducing intensification potential. Model consensus remains stable ahead of final updates, though minor shifts in wind or insolation could adjust outcomes within the narrow 27–29°C band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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