Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a maximum of 41°C or higher in Jeddah on August 10, reflecting summer climatology where regional highs often reach 37–39°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast. Recent model guidance shows variability in daytime maxima due to fluctuating wind patterns and humidity levels that can amplify or moderate heat, with some runs supporting peaks near or above 40°C. This aligns with broader Saudi heat trends observed in early August. Updated National Center for Meteorology forecasts and ensemble spreads expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Джидде 10 августа?
41°C или выше 41%
40°C 28%
38°C 17%
39°C 17%
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C
17%
39°C
17%
40°C
28%
41°C или выше
41%
41°C или выше 41%
40°C 28%
38°C 17%
39°C 17%
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C
17%
39°C
17%
40°C
28%
41°C или выше
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to a maximum of 41°C or higher in Jeddah on August 10, reflecting summer climatology where regional highs often reach 37–39°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover along the Red Sea coast. Recent model guidance shows variability in daytime maxima due to fluctuating wind patterns and humidity levels that can amplify or moderate heat, with some runs supporting peaks near or above 40°C. This aligns with broader Saudi heat trends observed in early August. Updated National Center for Meteorology forecasts and ensemble spreads expected in the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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