Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 12 августа?
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 9%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from global and regional models currently drive the tight clustering around 28–30°C outcomes for Wuhan's August 12 maximum, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, convective rainfall, and steering winds over the Yangtze River valley. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 32–33°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, yet an emerging El Niño pattern is enhancing moisture transport and monsoon variability, increasing the chance of localized cooling from showers or thicker cloud decks. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range by clarifying these mesoscale factors ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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