Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 12 августа?
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
26°C или ниже
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
26°C или ниже
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
47%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models position a daytime maximum near 30°C as the most likely outcome for Munich on August 12, with ensemble means clustering there and spreads of roughly 1–2°C reflecting minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation. A stable high-pressure ridge supports clear skies and gradual warming, while any subtle shifts in the steering flow could allow 29°C or 31°C scenarios. Recent model updates through August 10 show consistent guidance without major revisions, aligning trader consensus around these central buckets as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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