Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 5 сентября?
15°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$56,187 Объем
$56,187 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 100.0%
10°C или ниже <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$56,187 Объем
$56,187 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$250 Объем
<1%
11°C
$403 Объем
<1%
12°C
$324 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,458 Объем
<1%
14°C
$11,621 Объем
<1%
15°C
$13,663 Объем
100%
16°C
$17,969 Объем
<1%
17°C
$5,762 Объем
<1%
18°C
$4,358 Объем
<1%
19°C
$177 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$231 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$56,187Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$56,187Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington reflects real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction consensus from agencies like MetService and international models, showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that threshold amid moderate northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and springtime radiative conditions typical for early September in the region. Historical climatology places average September highs around 14–15°C at Wellington Airport, with the current setup—dew points near 10°C and wind gusts limiting daytime heating—aligning closely with this baseline rather than supporting excursions higher or lower. Minor model spread in timing of any brief clearing introduces limited uncertainty, but updated analyses through the afternoon continue to anchor the outcome at 15°C, as deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts such as stronger subsidence or reduced wind speeds not indicated in latest guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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