Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and GFS consensus point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and gusty winds up to 40–50 km/h. Current conditions on September 19 show highs near 15–16°C amid strong northwesterlies, while the September 20 transition to southerlies brings cooler air before a return to northerlies favors modest warming. Spring climatology for the region features high day-to-day variability from passing fronts, with official forecasts placing the expected peak in the 13–16°C band. Model spread and potential for afternoon cloud or showers introduce uncertainty around the precise daily maximum, aligning trader-implied odds with the 15°C outcome as the modal resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 21 сентября?
15°C 56%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
13°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
14%
15°C
56%
16°C
28%
17°C
5%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C или выше
1%
15°C 56%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
13°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$11 Объем
1%
11°C
$6 Объем
1%
12°C
$0 Объем
2%
13°C
$0 Объем
5%
14°C
$31 Объем
14%
15°C
$196 Объем
56%
16°C
$6 Объем
28%
17°C
$0 Объем
5%
18°C
$0 Объем
4%
19°C
$0 Объем
3%
20°C или выше
$6 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and GFS consensus point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and gusty winds up to 40–50 km/h. Current conditions on September 19 show highs near 15–16°C amid strong northwesterlies, while the September 20 transition to southerlies brings cooler air before a return to northerlies favors modest warming. Spring climatology for the region features high day-to-day variability from passing fronts, with official forecasts placing the expected peak in the 13–16°C band. Model spread and potential for afternoon cloud or showers introduce uncertainty around the precise daily maximum, aligning trader-implied odds with the 15°C outcome as the modal resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$257Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and GFS consensus point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and gusty winds up to 40–50 km/h. Current conditions on September 19 show highs near 15–16°C amid strong northwesterlies, while the September 20 transition to southerlies brings cooler air before a return to northerlies favors modest warming. Spring climatology for the region features high day-to-day variability from passing fronts, with official forecasts placing the expected peak in the 13–16°C band. Model spread and potential for afternoon cloud or showers introduce uncertainty around the precise daily maximum, aligning trader-implied odds with the 15°C outcome as the modal resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$257Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and GFS consensus point to a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 21 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy skies and gusty winds up to 40–50 km/h. Current conditions on September 19 show highs near 15–16°C amid strong northwesterlies, while the September 20 transition to southerlies brings cooler air before a return to northerlies favors modest warming. Spring climatology for the region features high day-to-day variability from passing fronts, with official forecasts placing the expected peak in the 13–16°C band. Model spread and potential for afternoon cloud or showers introduce uncertainty around the precise daily maximum, aligning trader-implied odds with the 15°C outcome as the modal resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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