Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 18 августа?
32°C 66%
31°C 28%
33°C 3%
30°C 1.0%
$14,396 Объем
$14,396 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
28%
32°C
66%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
31°C 28%
33°C 3%
30°C 1.0%
$14,396 Объем
$14,396 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
28%
32°C
66%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models centers daytime maxima near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical sea-breeze moderation that curbs coastal warming. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where averages hover near 30–31°C, and produce minimal ensemble spread without anomalous subsidence or heat-dome reinforcement that could elevate readings to 33°C or higher. The resulting tight range underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C and 31°C as leading outcomes. Updated short-range model runs and final official observations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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