Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle on August 9, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with limited marine influence. This consensus supports the near-equal market-implied odds for the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from factors such as afternoon sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual smoke or cloud cover from regional patterns. Seattle’s August climatology, with average highs near 75–79°F and a stronger-than-normal summer warmth trend noted by NOAA, anchors the distribution while allowing modest probability for 74–75°F if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends ahead of the final observation at Sea-Tac Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 9 августа?
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
71°F or below
$219 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$563 Объем
7%
74-75°F
$699 Объем
18%
76-77°F
$442 Объем
32%
78-79°F
$929 Объем
35%
80-81°F
$118 Объем
12%
82-83°F
$228 Объем
4%
84-85°F
$66 Объем
2%
86-87°F
$84 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$89 Объем
1%
90°F or higher
$89 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle on August 9, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with limited marine influence. This consensus supports the near-equal market-implied odds for the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from factors such as afternoon sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual smoke or cloud cover from regional patterns. Seattle’s August climatology, with average highs near 75–79°F and a stronger-than-normal summer warmth trend noted by NOAA, anchors the distribution while allowing modest probability for 74–75°F if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends ahead of the final observation at Sea-Tac Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$3,527Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle on August 9, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with limited marine influence. This consensus supports the near-equal market-implied odds for the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from factors such as afternoon sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual smoke or cloud cover from regional patterns. Seattle’s August climatology, with average highs near 75–79°F and a stronger-than-normal summer warmth trend noted by NOAA, anchors the distribution while allowing modest probability for 74–75°F if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends ahead of the final observation at Sea-Tac Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,527Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle on August 9, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with limited marine influence. This consensus supports the near-equal market-implied odds for the 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of a few degrees from factors such as afternoon sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual smoke or cloud cover from regional patterns. Seattle’s August climatology, with average highs near 75–79°F and a stronger-than-normal summer warmth trend noted by NOAA, anchors the distribution while allowing modest probability for 74–75°F if onshore flow strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and observed trends ahead of the final observation at Sea-Tac Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы