Traders see 26°C as the narrow favorite at 39.5% amid closely bunched odds because current model consensus points to a daytime maximum near that level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of August in subtropical São Paulo. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and dry air favor efficient daytime heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Recent INMET guidance and ensemble runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with yesterday’s 27°C reading illustrating how small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can tip the outcome between 25°C and 27°C. Updated afternoon observations and any late model adjustments from official monitoring networks will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 августа?
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$10,706 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,706 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
20%
26°C
40%
27°C
33%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
25°C 20%
28°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$10,706 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,706 Объем
4 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$864 Объем
<1%
23°C
$567 Объем
1%
24°C
$816 Объем
1%
25°C
$1,162 Объем
20%
26°C
$3,554 Объем
40%
27°C
$1,326 Объем
33%
28°C
$977 Объем
8%
29°C
$496 Объем
1%
30°C
$300 Объем
<1%
31°C
$322 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$321 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 26°C as the narrow favorite at 39.5% amid closely bunched odds because current model consensus points to a daytime maximum near that level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of August in subtropical São Paulo. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and dry air favor efficient daytime heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Recent INMET guidance and ensemble runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with yesterday’s 27°C reading illustrating how small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can tip the outcome between 25°C and 27°C. Updated afternoon observations and any late model adjustments from official monitoring networks will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$10,706Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 26°C as the narrow favorite at 39.5% amid closely bunched odds because current model consensus points to a daytime maximum near that level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of August in subtropical São Paulo. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and dry air favor efficient daytime heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Recent INMET guidance and ensemble runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with yesterday’s 27°C reading illustrating how small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can tip the outcome between 25°C and 27°C. Updated afternoon observations and any late model adjustments from official monitoring networks will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,706Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 26°C as the narrow favorite at 39.5% amid closely bunched odds because current model consensus points to a daytime maximum near that level under stable high-pressure conditions typical of August in subtropical São Paulo. Light winds, limited cloud cover, and dry air favor efficient daytime heating, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally compared with rural stations. Recent INMET guidance and ensemble runs show only modest day-to-day variability, with yesterday’s 27°C reading illustrating how small shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing can tip the outcome between 25°C and 27°C. Updated afternoon observations and any late model adjustments from official monitoring networks will be the decisive inputs before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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