Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective clouds and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum temperature centered near 24°C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late Southern Hemisphere winter, where average August highs hover around 23–25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. Updated forecast runs show minimal deviation risk from this range, with only modest potential for slight warming if insolation increases or cooling if low-level moisture lingers. Trader positioning therefore clusters tightly on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable synoptic patterns this time of year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 12 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 12 августа?
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,327 Объем
$28,327 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
45%
25°C
29%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 29%
23°C 13%
26°C 10%
$28,327 Объем
$28,327 Объем
12 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$1,618 Объем
<1%
20°C
$947 Объем
1%
21°C
$2,875 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,617 Объем
5%
23°C
$6,310 Объем
13%
24°C
$4,904 Объем
45%
25°C
$2,276 Объем
29%
26°C
$2,221 Объем
10%
27°C
$985 Объем
1%
28°C
$621 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$3,953 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective clouds and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum temperature centered near 24°C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late Southern Hemisphere winter, where average August highs hover around 23–25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. Updated forecast runs show minimal deviation risk from this range, with only modest potential for slight warming if insolation increases or cooling if low-level moisture lingers. Trader positioning therefore clusters tightly on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable synoptic patterns this time of year.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$28,327Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective clouds and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum temperature centered near 24°C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late Southern Hemisphere winter, where average August highs hover around 23–25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. Updated forecast runs show minimal deviation risk from this range, with only modest potential for slight warming if insolation increases or cooling if low-level moisture lingers. Trader positioning therefore clusters tightly on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable synoptic patterns this time of year.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$28,327Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to a subtropical high-pressure ridge dominating São Paulo on August 12, suppressing convective clouds and limiting daytime heating to produce a maximum temperature centered near 24°C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for late Southern Hemisphere winter, where average August highs hover around 23–25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds. Updated forecast runs show minimal deviation risk from this range, with only modest potential for slight warming if insolation increases or cooling if low-level moisture lingers. Trader positioning therefore clusters tightly on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of stable synoptic patterns this time of year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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