Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 21 сентября?
18°C 49%
17°C 35%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
14°C или ниже
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
49%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C или выше
<1%
18°C 49%
17°C 35%
20°C 18%
19°C 17%
14°C или ниже
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
49%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS consensus show Munich's September 21 high settling near 17–18°C under northwest flow, increased cloud cover, and a post-weekend cooling trend after highs reached 22–24°C on the 19th–20th. This positions 18°C as the leading market outcome at 49.5% implied probability, with 17°C close behind at 34.5%, reflecting typical late-September variability in southern Germany where daily maxima can shift 2–3°C with minor changes in steering patterns or precipitation timing. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have narrowed the range, limiting support for 19°C or warmer scenarios while historical September averages near 18°C provide climatological context for the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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