Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, driven by westerly flow behind an overnight frontal passage that brings morning showers before skies clear. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while reflecting modest warming from recent upstream ridging. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster between 23–26°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (67.5% implied probability) over 24°C or 26°C. Official DWD station observations at day's end will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 31 августа?
25°C 68%
24°C 19%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
68%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 68%
24°C 19%
26°C 12%
23°C 3%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
68%
26°C
12%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional ensembles, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C for Munich on August 31, 2026, driven by westerly flow behind an overnight frontal passage that brings morning showers before skies clear. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological average high of 22.4°C while reflecting modest warming from recent upstream ridging. Ensemble spreads and hourly guidance cluster between 23–26°C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (67.5% implied probability) over 24°C or 26°C. Official DWD station observations at day's end will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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