Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild late-summer air mass over Moscow on September 20, with southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime highs near 20–21 °C. This consensus underpins the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the peak by a degree or two or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Official guidance highlights low precipitation chances and stable pressure, reducing the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 18 °C while capping upside potential short of 23 °C given the season’s declining solar angle. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 20 сентября?
20°C 40%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 19%
14°C или ниже
1%
15 °C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
21%
19°C
16%
20°C
25%
21°C
22%
22°C
19%
23°C
4%
24°C или выше
9%
20°C 40%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 19%
14°C или ниже
1%
15 °C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
21%
19°C
16%
20°C
25%
21°C
22%
22°C
19%
23°C
4%
24°C или выше
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild late-summer air mass over Moscow on September 20, with southwesterly winds and partly cloudy skies supporting daytime highs near 20–21 °C. This consensus underpins the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could trim the peak by a degree or two or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Official guidance highlights low precipitation chances and stable pressure, reducing the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 18 °C while capping upside potential short of 23 °C given the season’s declining solar angle. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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