Forecast consensus from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on 30 August, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer convective activity that limits surface heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, steered by light southerly flow, are expected to cap temperatures near the seasonal norm of roughly 23 °C while allowing brief peaks into the mid-20s before cooling. Recent August observations show similar moderated highs amid above-average rainfall, with no heat-wave signals or clear-sky anomalies to push readings higher. These conditions underpin the market’s emphasis on 25 °C as the modal outcome, with the secondary probability on 26 °C or above capturing the upper end of forecast uncertainty ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 30 августа?
26°C или выше 52%
25°C 51%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
$5,683 Объем
$5,683 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
43%
26°C или выше
52%
26°C или выше 52%
25°C 51%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
$5,683 Объем
$5,683 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$163 Объем
<1%
17°C
$140 Объем
<1%
18°C
$241 Объем
<1%
19°C
$115 Объем
<1%
20°C
$369 Объем
<1%
21°C
$554 Объем
<1%
22°C
$539 Объем
<1%
23°C
$374 Объем
2%
24°C
$1,168 Объем
8%
25°C
$1,032 Объем
43%
26°C или выше
$989 Объем
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on 30 August, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer convective activity that limits surface heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, steered by light southerly flow, are expected to cap temperatures near the seasonal norm of roughly 23 °C while allowing brief peaks into the mid-20s before cooling. Recent August observations show similar moderated highs amid above-average rainfall, with no heat-wave signals or clear-sky anomalies to push readings higher. These conditions underpin the market’s emphasis on 25 °C as the modal outcome, with the secondary probability on 26 °C or above capturing the upper end of forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Объем
$5,683Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on 30 August, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer convective activity that limits surface heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, steered by light southerly flow, are expected to cap temperatures near the seasonal norm of roughly 23 °C while allowing brief peaks into the mid-20s before cooling. Recent August observations show similar moderated highs amid above-average rainfall, with no heat-wave signals or clear-sky anomalies to push readings higher. These conditions underpin the market’s emphasis on 25 °C as the modal outcome, with the secondary probability on 26 °C or above capturing the upper end of forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,683Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a daytime maximum of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on 30 August, reflecting the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and typical late-summer convective activity that limits surface heating. Afternoon thunderstorms, steered by light southerly flow, are expected to cap temperatures near the seasonal norm of roughly 23 °C while allowing brief peaks into the mid-20s before cooling. Recent August observations show similar moderated highs amid above-average rainfall, with no heat-wave signals or clear-sky anomalies to push readings higher. These conditions underpin the market’s emphasis on 25 °C as the modal outcome, with the secondary probability on 26 °C or above capturing the upper end of forecast uncertainty ranges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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