Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate, BBC Weather, and Met Office point to a Mexico City high of 19–21°C on August 24, driven by the peak rainy season's cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 19°C (21.5%), 20°C (33.5%), and 21°C (31.5%), where small differences in storm timing or intensity could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 24°C reflect drier periods, but current model consensus favors moderation from precipitation and northerly flow, with low odds for extremes above 22°C or below 19°C reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 24 августа?
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
19°C 22%
22°C 8%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
1%
20°C 34%
21°C 32%
19°C 22%
22°C 8%
15°C или ниже
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
32%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate, BBC Weather, and Met Office point to a Mexico City high of 19–21°C on August 24, driven by the peak rainy season's cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime solar heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 19°C (21.5%), 20°C (33.5%), and 21°C (31.5%), where small differences in storm timing or intensity could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 24°C reflect drier periods, but current model consensus favors moderation from precipitation and northerly flow, with low odds for extremes above 22°C or below 19°C reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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