Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Manila's outlook for August 24, driving the market's clustering around 30–32°C with combined implied probability near 74%. Official PAGASA guidance projects daytime highs near 30–32°C amid 40–80% rain chances, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses insolation and caps afternoon peaks. Trader dispersion across 29–33°C reflects uncertainty in convective timing and intensity: sustained heavy rainfall favors the lower end while brief clearing or reduced thunderstorm activity could permit brief spikes to 32–33°C. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet model variability in monsoon strength keeps resolution sensitive to the latest forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 24 августа?
31°C 34%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C или выше
2%
31°C 34%
30°C 22%
32°C 21%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$9 Объем
<1%
25°C
$0 Объем
<1%
26°C
$135 Объем
<1%
27°C
$85 Объем
1%
28°C
$142 Объем
3%
29°C
$75 Объем
8%
30°C
$411 Объем
22%
31°C
$691 Объем
34%
32°C
$1,377 Объем
21%
33°C
$859 Объем
6%
34°C или выше
$302 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Manila's outlook for August 24, driving the market's clustering around 30–32°C with combined implied probability near 74%. Official PAGASA guidance projects daytime highs near 30–32°C amid 40–80% rain chances, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses insolation and caps afternoon peaks. Trader dispersion across 29–33°C reflects uncertainty in convective timing and intensity: sustained heavy rainfall favors the lower end while brief clearing or reduced thunderstorm activity could permit brief spikes to 32–33°C. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet model variability in monsoon strength keeps resolution sensitive to the latest forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$4,074Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Manila's outlook for August 24, driving the market's clustering around 30–32°C with combined implied probability near 74%. Official PAGASA guidance projects daytime highs near 30–32°C amid 40–80% rain chances, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses insolation and caps afternoon peaks. Trader dispersion across 29–33°C reflects uncertainty in convective timing and intensity: sustained heavy rainfall favors the lower end while brief clearing or reduced thunderstorm activity could permit brief spikes to 32–33°C. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet model variability in monsoon strength keeps resolution sensitive to the latest forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,074Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Manila's outlook for August 24, driving the market's clustering around 30–32°C with combined implied probability near 74%. Official PAGASA guidance projects daytime highs near 30–32°C amid 40–80% rain chances, scattered thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover that suppresses insolation and caps afternoon peaks. Trader dispersion across 29–33°C reflects uncertainty in convective timing and intensity: sustained heavy rainfall favors the lower end while brief clearing or reduced thunderstorm activity could permit brief spikes to 32–33°C. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, yet model variability in monsoon strength keeps resolution sensitive to the latest forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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