Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 15 августа?
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C или выше
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$124 Объем
<1%
21°C
$24 Объем
<1%
22°C
$24 Объем
<1%
23°C
$92 Объем
3%
24°C
$58 Объем
6%
25°C
$154 Объем
10%
26°C
$50 Объем
34%
27°C
$661 Объем
37%
28°C
$49 Объем
10%
29°C
$14 Объем
3%
30°C или выше
$25 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Объем
$1,275Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,275Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from major centers indicate peak temperatures in Mexico City on August 15 centering on 26–27°C, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 34% and 37%. An ongoing El Niño episode contributes to above-average warmth across the region, while Mexico City's high elevation, urban heat island effect, and typical afternoon convective activity introduce variability in maximum readings. Minor differences in projected cloud cover, humidity levels, and boundary-layer winds can shift the daily high by 1°C between ensemble members, sustaining uncertainty ahead of final observational data from local meteorological stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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