Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to peak afternoon temperatures in Manila of 30–32°C on September 14 under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity (70–85%) limiting insolation. Persistent cloud cover from convective activity and light winds reduce daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while urban heat-island effects and dew points near 24–26°C support highs near the upper end of historical September averages (around 31°C). Traders favor 32°C and 33°C because short-term forecast spreads show minor differences in rainfall timing and cloud thickness that could allow brief peaks near 33°C if convection remains suppressed during peak solar hours; official Philippine monitoring and ensemble outputs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 14 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 14 сентября?
32°C 42%
33°C 40%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,908 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,908 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
42%
33°C
40%
34°C
13%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 40%
34°C 13%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,908 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,908 Объем
14 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$297 Объем
<1%
27°C
$297 Объем
<1%
28°C
$445 Объем
<1%
29°C
$678 Объем
<1%
30°C
$883 Объем
2%
31°C
$2,636 Объем
10%
32°C
$2,897 Объем
42%
33°C
$2,141 Объем
40%
34°C
$1,071 Объем
13%
35°C
$347 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$217 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to peak afternoon temperatures in Manila of 30–32°C on September 14 under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity (70–85%) limiting insolation. Persistent cloud cover from convective activity and light winds reduce daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while urban heat-island effects and dew points near 24–26°C support highs near the upper end of historical September averages (around 31°C). Traders favor 32°C and 33°C because short-term forecast spreads show minor differences in rainfall timing and cloud thickness that could allow brief peaks near 33°C if convection remains suppressed during peak solar hours; official Philippine monitoring and ensemble outputs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$11,908Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to peak afternoon temperatures in Manila of 30–32°C on September 14 under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity (70–85%) limiting insolation. Persistent cloud cover from convective activity and light winds reduce daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while urban heat-island effects and dew points near 24–26°C support highs near the upper end of historical September averages (around 31°C). Traders favor 32°C and 33°C because short-term forecast spreads show minor differences in rainfall timing and cloud thickness that could allow brief peaks near 33°C if convection remains suppressed during peak solar hours; official Philippine monitoring and ensemble outputs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,908Дата окончания
14 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to peak afternoon temperatures in Manila of 30–32°C on September 14 under typical southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered showers and high humidity (70–85%) limiting insolation. Persistent cloud cover from convective activity and light winds reduce daytime heating compared to clearer periods, while urban heat-island effects and dew points near 24–26°C support highs near the upper end of historical September averages (around 31°C). Traders favor 32°C and 33°C because short-term forecast spreads show minor differences in rainfall timing and cloud thickness that could allow brief peaks near 33°C if convection remains suppressed during peak solar hours; official Philippine monitoring and ensemble outputs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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