Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Manila on September 13, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration and global ensembles showing typical southwest monsoon conditions with daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with convective activity and sea-breeze effects capping peaks. A shift to clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow brief excursions to 33°C, while heavier afternoon downpours or stronger winds might hold the maximum at or below 31°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those outcomes less probable ahead of the daily peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 13 сентября?
32°C 99%
33°C <1%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
$21,585 Объем
$21,585 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
32°C 99%
33°C <1%
24°C или ниже <1%
25°C <1%
$21,585 Объем
$21,585 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Manila on September 13, reflecting model consensus from sources like the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration and global ensembles showing typical southwest monsoon conditions with daytime maxima near 31–32°C amid high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with convective activity and sea-breeze effects capping peaks. A shift to clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow brief excursions to 33°C, while heavier afternoon downpours or stronger winds might hold the maximum at or below 31°C, though current observational trends and short-range guidance make those outcomes less probable ahead of the daily peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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