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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?

авг. 1

авг. 2

авг. 1

авг. 2

36°C 48%

37°C 44%

38°C 6%

35°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

36°C 48%

37°C 44%

38°C 6%

35°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

32°C или ниже

$560 Объем

1%

33°C

$292 Объем

1%

34°C

$575 Объем

2%

35°C

$1,054 Объем

5%

36°C

$2,079 Объем

48%

37°C

$2,030 Объем

44%

38°C

$343 Объем

6%

39°C

$477 Объем

1%

40°C

$357 Объем

1%

41°C

$216 Объем

<1%

42°C или выше

$230 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot air mass advection over central Spain under a strong subtropical ridge has positioned 36°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Madrid’s August 2 maximum, with near-equal trader consensus reflecting tight forecast spreads. Subsidence warming, clear skies promoting strong daytime radiative heating, and light winds limiting mixing support highs in this narrow range, consistent with late-summer climatology when Madrid often exceeds its 32–33°C August average. Minor model disagreements on exact peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat-island effects differentiate the two dominant bins, while probabilities below 6% for 38°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of any frontal passage. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs on resolution day will refine the final observed maximum at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,215
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent hot air mass advection over central Spain under a strong subtropical ridge has positioned 36°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes for Madrid’s August 2 maximum, with near-equal trader consensus reflecting tight forecast spreads. Subsidence warming, clear skies promoting strong daytime radiative heating, and light winds limiting mixing support highs in this narrow range, consistent with late-summer climatology when Madrid often exceeds its 32–33°C August average. Minor model disagreements on exact peak timing, boundary-layer moisture, or localized urban heat-island effects differentiate the two dominant bins, while probabilities below 6% for 38°C or higher align with limited intensification potential ahead of any frontal passage. Updated AEMET and ECMWF runs on resolution day will refine the final observed maximum at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,215
Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «36°C» с 48%, за ним следует «37°C» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 31, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?» — «36°C» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «37°C» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 2 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.