Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 2 августа?
30°C 36%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$13,695 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,695 Объем
2 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
15%
29°C
24%
30°C
36%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$13,695 Объем
НОВОЕ
$13,695 Объем
2 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$167 Объем
<1%
27°C
$242 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,464 Объем
15%
29°C
$5,166 Объем
24%
30°C
$1,609 Объем
36%
31°C
$1,173 Объем
21%
32°C
$946 Объем
4%
33°C
$1,204 Объем
1%
34°C
$695 Объем
1%
35°C
$257 Объем
<1%
36°C or higher
$772 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$13,695Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,695Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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