National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 29 августа?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F или ниже <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 Объем
$39,903 Объем
83°F или ниже
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Да
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100-101°F
Нет
102°F или выше
Нет
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F или ниже <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 Объем
$39,903 Объем
83°F или ниже
Нет
84-85°F
Нет
86-87°F
Нет
88-89°F
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Да
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100-101°F
Нет
102°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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