Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 1, 2026, center on a high near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds around 6 m/s, and low precipitation risk (under 2 mm in most runs), aligning with the historical average high of 32.9°C. Recent late-August patterns, including possible showers on August 31, suggest modest moisture and cloud cover that limit afternoon heating and keep extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only minor spreads from variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective timing that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1°C. This uncertainty, combined with no strong subtropical ridge or typhoon influence in the immediate window, explains the near-even market weighting between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the final 48 hours will likely tighten resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 1 сентября?
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C или выше
8%
32°C 31%
33°C 25%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
25%
34°C
15%
35°C
7%
36°C или выше
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 1, 2026, center on a high near 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds around 6 m/s, and low precipitation risk (under 2 mm in most runs), aligning with the historical average high of 32.9°C. Recent late-August patterns, including possible showers on August 31, suggest modest moisture and cloud cover that limit afternoon heating and keep extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with only minor spreads from variations in boundary-layer moisture or brief convective timing that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1°C. This uncertainty, combined with no strong subtropical ridge or typhoon influence in the immediate window, explains the near-even market weighting between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the final 48 hours will likely tighten resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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