A strong upper-level ridge centered over the Southern Plains has driven persistently hot, dry conditions across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a Dallas high near 103°F under sunny skies and light south winds on August 30. The ridge's subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating, while low humidity and recent model underperformance—actual readings running hotter than guidance—support the market's heavy weighting toward 100-101°F. Historical August averages near 94°F and records up to 107°F provide context, but the current pattern's stability limits upside beyond 102-103°F. Traders appear to price in modest forecast adjustments possible from final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 30 августа?
100-101°F 84%
98-99°F 13%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F <1%
$19,406 Объем
$19,406 Объем
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
84%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 84%
98-99°F 13%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F <1%
$19,406 Объем
$19,406 Объем
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
84%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A strong upper-level ridge centered over the Southern Plains has driven persistently hot, dry conditions across North Texas, with official NWS forecasts calling for a Dallas high near 103°F under sunny skies and light south winds on August 30. The ridge's subsidence has suppressed cloud cover and enhanced solar heating, while low humidity and recent model underperformance—actual readings running hotter than guidance—support the market's heavy weighting toward 100-101°F. Historical August averages near 94°F and records up to 107°F provide context, but the current pattern's stability limits upside beyond 102-103°F. Traders appear to price in modest forecast adjustments possible from final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы