Recent cooling from widespread rainfall on August 29, which kept most Chongqing stations below 30°C, has given way to clearing skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting a rebound toward 34–36°C on August 31. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including hourly projections reaching 35–36°C) highlight weak northerly winds, moderate humidity around 50%, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions as key drivers. These factors align with late-August climatology for the region’s humid subtropical regime, where post-frontal warming often produces peak readings in the mid-30s before seasonal decline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 35°C, centers on model agreement around this threshold, though localized variations and final observational adjustments remain possible before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 31 августа?
35°C 48%
34°C 29%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
29%
35°C
48%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 29%
36°C 16%
33°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$251 Объем
<1%
30°C
$316 Объем
<1%
31°C
$576 Объем
<1%
32°C
$408 Объем
1%
33°C
$16 Объем
7%
34°C
$242 Объем
29%
35°C
$709 Объем
48%
36°C
$385 Объем
16%
37°C
$374 Объем
3%
38°C
$131 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$472 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from widespread rainfall on August 29, which kept most Chongqing stations below 30°C, has given way to clearing skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting a rebound toward 34–36°C on August 31. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including hourly projections reaching 35–36°C) highlight weak northerly winds, moderate humidity around 50%, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions as key drivers. These factors align with late-August climatology for the region’s humid subtropical regime, where post-frontal warming often produces peak readings in the mid-30s before seasonal decline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 35°C, centers on model agreement around this threshold, though localized variations and final observational adjustments remain possible before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$3,879Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from widespread rainfall on August 29, which kept most Chongqing stations below 30°C, has given way to clearing skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting a rebound toward 34–36°C on August 31. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including hourly projections reaching 35–36°C) highlight weak northerly winds, moderate humidity around 50%, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions as key drivers. These factors align with late-August climatology for the region’s humid subtropical regime, where post-frontal warming often produces peak readings in the mid-30s before seasonal decline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 35°C, centers on model agreement around this threshold, though localized variations and final observational adjustments remain possible before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,879Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from widespread rainfall on August 29, which kept most Chongqing stations below 30°C, has given way to clearing skies and reduced cloud cover, supporting a rebound toward 34–36°C on August 31. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including hourly projections reaching 35–36°C) highlight weak northerly winds, moderate humidity around 50%, and strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions as key drivers. These factors align with late-August climatology for the region’s humid subtropical regime, where post-frontal warming often produces peak readings in the mid-30s before seasonal decline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 35°C, centers on model agreement around this threshold, though localized variations and final observational adjustments remain possible before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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