Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 30 августа?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 15%
30-31°C 7%
$25,356 Объем
$25,356 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
36%
30-31°C
7%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 15%
30-31°C 7%
$25,356 Объем
$25,356 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
$3,343 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$1,366 Объем
4%
80-81°F
$2,394 Объем
15%
82-83°F
$3,664 Объем
41%
84-85°F
$3,705 Объем
36%
30-31°C
$5,288 Объем
7%
88-89°F
$3,015 Объем
3%
90-91°F
$1,768 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$132 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$328 Объем
<1%
96°F или выше
$353 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Объем
$25,356Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25,356Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service peg Chicago’s August 30 high near 80 °F amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms driven by a southwest flow and modest instability. Ensemble guidance and local observations show modest warming potential if convective activity remains isolated and breaks occur, supporting the market’s tight clustering between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Persistent low-level moisture and gusty winds favor suppressed maxima unless afternoon clearing strengthens insolation. Historical climatology places the date’s average high at 81 °F, so trader positioning largely reflects the balance between today’s observed cloud trends and any late-day model shifts that could allow brief warming above 83 °F before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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