Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including recent GFS runs, positions a maximum temperature of 22–23°C as the most likely outcome for Buenos Aires on September 19 under springtime conditions with moderate northeast winds and increasing cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September while allowing for modest warming if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus has placed the highest implied probability on 25°C, reflecting model spread and the potential for localized urban heat effects or slightly stronger insolation. Key resolution will depend on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final data typically available the following day. No significant atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 19 сентября?
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 7%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
5%
25°C 42%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 7%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
26%
25°C
42%
26°C
16%
27°C
5%
28°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models, including recent GFS runs, positions a maximum temperature of 22–23°C as the most likely outcome for Buenos Aires on September 19 under springtime conditions with moderate northeast winds and increasing cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September while allowing for modest warming if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Trader consensus has placed the highest implied probability on 25°C, reflecting model spread and the potential for localized urban heat effects or slightly stronger insolation. Key resolution will depend on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, with final data typically available the following day. No significant atmospheric shifts have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы