Forecast consensus from meteorological models and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires for a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 8, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere where polar air masses and limited solar heating keep highs well below the month’s 15–18°C climatological average. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range amid ongoing cool advection, with minimal warming expected before any frontal passage later in the period. Traders assign roughly 84% combined implied probability to 13°C or 14°C because historical analogs and current observational trends show rare excursions outside 12–15°C under similar synoptic setups, while resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements at the central station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 8 августа?
13°C 50%
14°C 33%
12°C 12%
15°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$18,606 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,606 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
12%
13°C
50%
14°C
33%
15°C
8%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
14°C 33%
12°C 12%
15°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$18,606 Объем
НОВОЕ
$18,606 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$519 Объем
<1%
9°C
$442 Объем
<1%
10°C
$674 Объем
<1%
11°C
$681 Объем
2%
12°C
$1,731 Объем
12%
13°C
$4,250 Объем
50%
14°C
$6,085 Объем
33%
15°C
$1,568 Объем
8%
16°C
$1,401 Объем
<1%
17°C
$566 Объем
<1%
18°C or higher
$690 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires for a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 8, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere where polar air masses and limited solar heating keep highs well below the month’s 15–18°C climatological average. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range amid ongoing cool advection, with minimal warming expected before any frontal passage later in the period. Traders assign roughly 84% combined implied probability to 13°C or 14°C because historical analogs and current observational trends show rare excursions outside 12–15°C under similar synoptic setups, while resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements at the central station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$18,606Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires for a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 8, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere where polar air masses and limited solar heating keep highs well below the month’s 15–18°C climatological average. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range amid ongoing cool advection, with minimal warming expected before any frontal passage later in the period. Traders assign roughly 84% combined implied probability to 13°C or 14°C because historical analogs and current observational trends show rare excursions outside 12–15°C under similar synoptic setups, while resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements at the central station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$18,606Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional positions Buenos Aires for a daily maximum near 13–14°C on August 8, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere where polar air masses and limited solar heating keep highs well below the month’s 15–18°C climatological average. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range amid ongoing cool advection, with minimal warming expected before any frontal passage later in the period. Traders assign roughly 84% combined implied probability to 13°C or 14°C because historical analogs and current observational trends show rare excursions outside 12–15°C under similar synoptic setups, while resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional measurements at the central station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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