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US Employment previsões e probabilidades

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

17%

5.0%

$435K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

46%

200k+

$68 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

$6.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

48%

Keith Sonderling

$45.8K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

89%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

41%

800–900B

$21.3K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 11?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 11?

96%

$705

$2.5K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 19 horas

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$65.0K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

20%

$2M Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

45%

↓ $7,100

$404K Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

71%

↑ $7,800

$169K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

5%

$4.4K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

32%

8

$2M Vol.

$135K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

50%

$13.8K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

76%

↓ $720

$258K Vol.

$78.1K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$11.1K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

17%

$6.5K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

3

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

84%

$2.8K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

56%

July 31

$36M Vol.

$4M today

$321K Liq.

412

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for US Employment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $40.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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