Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, seeking to secure the city as a northern axis toward Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, but verified advances remain limited according to geolocated assessments. Ukrainian units have conducted counterattacks northeast of Lyman since August 2026, reclaiming ground, disrupting supply routes, and pressuring Russian salients through drone-supported infantry maneuvers. Overall Russian territorial gains across the front have slowed markedly compared to prior periods, with intensified Ukrainian long-range strikes and unmanned systems further complicating logistics and reinforcement. The Lyman railroad station and surrounding terrain serve as focal points for resolution criteria in related prediction markets, with trader pricing reflecting the contested frontline dynamics and absence of rapid breakthroughs through September 2026. Scheduled military activity in the sector and any shifts in Ukrainian defensive reinforcements or Russian glide bomb usage could influence near-term positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Rússia vai capturar Lyman por...?
$2,991,298 Vol.
30 de setembro
2%
31 de dezembro
20%
$2,991,298 Vol.
30 de setembro
2%
31 de dezembro
20%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station+zoom.png
Train Station Location in Lyman: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station.jpeg
Lyman Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/zeVSXaeDH93mF2WPA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 19, 2026, 7:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station+zoom.png
Train Station Location in Lyman: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station.jpeg
Lyman Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/zeVSXaeDH93mF2WPA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in the Lyman sector of Donetsk Oblast, seeking to secure the city as a northern axis toward Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, but verified advances remain limited according to geolocated assessments. Ukrainian units have conducted counterattacks northeast of Lyman since August 2026, reclaiming ground, disrupting supply routes, and pressuring Russian salients through drone-supported infantry maneuvers. Overall Russian territorial gains across the front have slowed markedly compared to prior periods, with intensified Ukrainian long-range strikes and unmanned systems further complicating logistics and reinforcement. The Lyman railroad station and surrounding terrain serve as focal points for resolution criteria in related prediction markets, with trader pricing reflecting the contested frontline dynamics and absence of rapid breakthroughs through September 2026. Scheduled military activity in the sector and any shifts in Ukrainian defensive reinforcements or Russian glide bomb usage could influence near-term positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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